Construction Market to Increase 11% in 2010, Says McGraw-Hill Construction
Outlook Report
Gains in housing and public works will offset declines in commercial and
manufacturing building
WASHINGTON, Oct. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- McGraw-Hill Construction, part of The
McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE: MHP), today released its 2010 Construction
Outlook, a mainstay of business planning for construction and manufacturing
executives, which forecasts an increase in overall U.S. construction starts
for next year. Due to improvement for housing from extremely low levels and
broader expansion for public works, the level of construction starts in 2010
is expected to climb 11% to $466.2 billion, following the 25% decline
predicted for 2009.
"The U.S. construction market in 2010 will be helped by growth for several
sectors, following three straight years of decline that brought total
construction activity down 39% from its mid-decade peak," said Robert A.
Murray, vice president of economic affairs for McGraw-Hill Construction,
addressing more than 300 construction executives and professionals at the 71st
annual Outlook 2010 Executive Conference in Washington today. "The benefits
from the stimulus act will broaden in scope, lifting not just highway
construction but also environmental public works and several institutional
structure types. With continued improvement expected for single family
housing, after reaching bottom earlier this year, the overall level of
construction activity should see moderate expansion in 2010."
Highlights of the 2010 Construction Outlook include:
-- Single family housing for 2010 will advance 32% in dollars,
corresponding to a 30% increase in the number of units to 560,000
(McGraw-Hill Construction basis).
-- Multifamily housing will improve 16% in dollars and 14% in units,
after
steep reductions in 2008 and 2009.
-- Commercial buildings will drop 4% in dollars, following a steep 43%
drop
in 2009. The weak employment picture will further depress occupancies,
making it even more difficult to justify new construction.
-- Institutional buildings will begin to stabilize after losing momentum
in
2009. Square footage will retreat another 2% after sliding 23% this
year. The dollar amount of construction for this sector will edge up
1%,
helped by a growing amount of energy-efficiency upgrades to federal
buildings and continued strength for military buildings.
-- Manufacturing buildings will drop 14% in dollars and 3% in square
feet,
hampered by the substantial amount of slack manufacturing capacity.
-- Public works construction is expected to rise 14%, given more
wide-ranging strength across all project types.
-- Electric utility construction will slip 3%, continuing to settle back
after a record high in 2008.
The 2010 Construction Outlook was presented at the McGraw-Hill Construction
Outlook Executive Conference in Washington, DC, which brought together top
management from all parts of the construction industry including firms
involved in building product manufacturing, architecture and design,
contracting, engineering, industry associations and other industry
professionals. At the event, Frank Giunta of Hill International and George
Pierson of Parsons Brinckerhoff offered insights to an industry emerging from
the crisis:
"The stimulus funds are meant to be just that, a stimulus, not the
be-all-end-all answer to infrastructure financing," said Frank J. Giunta,
senior vice president and managing director of Hill International. "Both
public and private sectors need to be innovative and rewrite the rules of
project finance to address tremendous construction needs with minimal
financing options."
"The efforts of the federal agencies at transparency and their willingness to
engage with private industry is refreshing," said George J. Pierson, chief
operating officer, Parsons Brinckerhoff. "We have to work together to meet the
challenges of infrastructure and this economy."
For more information on the 2010 Outlook, visit
http://con